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小縣城為何總在城鎮化上走偏?

來源:未知 作者:admin 人氣: 發布時間:2014-02-12
摘要:這兩天關注財經領域的都看過這條新聞吧:《縣城房產大躍進:欠發達地區的城鎮化沖動》。說的就是山東C縣公務員被攤派賣房,針對的是近日媒體爆出的山東C縣公務員被要求在2014年必須介紹自己的親戚或朋友,至少在縣城內購買兩套新建商品房,否則可能被罰款或
這兩天關注財經領域的都看過這條新聞吧:《縣城房產大躍進:欠發達地區的城鎮化沖動》。說的就是山東“C縣”公務員被攤派賣房,針對的是近日媒體爆出的山東“C縣”公務員被要求在2014年必須介紹自己的親戚或朋友,至少在縣城內購買兩套新建商品房,否則可能被罰款或停發工資的消息。
 
據說各地城鎮化出現了不少走偏了的現象,震動了上層。
 
上級這么強調城鎮化的模式,但強調來強調去老是走錯。當前的城鎮化仍然是土地的城鎮化,距離人的城鎮化還有太大的距離。問題出在哪里?
 
長期以來,我國城鎮化戰略實際上是將一個完整的發展過程劃分成了四個階段:第一階段是職業轉變,即離土不離鄉,將人口從農業轉向非農產業,實現職業的非農化;第二階段是地域轉移,即離土又離鄉,將人口從農村引入城市、遷移到城鎮集居起來,實現居住空間的城鎮化;第三階段是身份轉換,即不僅改變了職業和居住環境,而且在戶籍上也轉變成了城鎮戶籍,實現了人口數量的城鎮化;第四階段是角色轉型,使農業轉移人口在社會屬性各個方面真正轉變為城市市民,實現農業轉移人口社會角色的市民化。
 
因此,一個完整的城鎮化過程實際上應該同時包含人口轉移、空間擴張、社會轉型和角色轉變等四個相互關聯的方面。前兩個方面是物質和技術層面上的城鎮化,后兩個方面則是社會文化和個體層面上的城鎮化。只有在這兩類屬性的城鎮化同時推進的情況下,城鎮化的動態平衡才能長期被維持。
 
仔細想想就發現其中的奧秘:職業轉變、身份轉換以及角色轉型,都需要以經濟發展及政策輔助,從就業等角度進行緩慢的人口遷徙。而恰恰是其中的地域轉移,可以僅僅在強烈的政策導向下實現大躍進式的“一步到位”。
 
上有所好,下必甚焉。地方政府如何在短期內表現出對中央政策的高度迎合呢?必然是首先集中于這類不需要時間積累,只要有政策有錢就能砸出來的方向。
 
于是,我們看到了城鎮化的斷層——土地城鎮化速度過快,而人口城鎮化推進緩慢。特別是在資源有限的背景下,政府越注重土地城鎮化,對于能夠拉動人口身份、職業轉型的產業扶持力度就會越弱,在這種趨勢下,人口城鎮化的缺口,只能是越來越嚴重。
 
既然人口城鎮化慢于土地城鎮化,那么就會表現出過度土地城鎮化帶來的資源浪費,并且無法在現有戶籍制度下保障進城農民享受同等的城鎮化待遇。而實際上這才是城鎮化的意義所在。
 
所以簡單點來看這件事:土地的城鎮化快于人口的城鎮化、技術的城鎮化快于制度的城鎮化、經濟的城鎮化快于社會和文化的城鎮化、數量的城鎮化快于質量的城鎮化,從而使得大量農業轉移人口難以融入城市社會,市民化進程滯后,資源環境代價昂貴,“城市病”問題不斷凸顯。
 
而中國有太多的市鎮仍然天真的以為城鎮化就是造個城市讓農民住進去,這種想法真是偏差太大了。
 
農村人口并非進入城市,而是早已身處城市之中了。目前中國的年輕人已經大部分在城市就業,農村都是些老弱人員。如果以就業為標準,而不以戶籍為標準,那么中國的城市化進程已經基本結束——并不像很多人想象中的“剛剛開始”。就比如看看數字,目前的中國城鎮化率超過52%,但城鎮戶籍人口占總人口的比例卻只有35%,大量的農民工實現了地域轉移和職業轉換,但還沒有實現身份和地位的轉變。
 
再往后,中國城市就業人口不會再可能大幅增加了,近年從沿海到內地不斷蔓延的用工荒就說明了這一點:中國的城市化已經接近尾聲,新型城鎮化實際上就是“收尾”的工作。只不過這種收尾的一種做法,就是發展新興城市群,引導人口有序的遷徙,而不是蜂擁圍堵北上廣深一線城市。
 
所以實際上現階段人的城鎮化問題,實際上就是現有戶籍制度及文化建設等軟件配套政策的落實,其實這就夠了。
 
只有從真正意義上解決住在城里,待遇在村里的城鎮化尷尬,才能真正有效的引導人口、就業,才能化解空城的局面,避免人在城里、工作在地頭的空心城鎮化局面進一步惡化。
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